Institutional-grade research built on signal convergence and adversarial rigor.
Telos Research Group is a research firm producing long-form analytical reports (15–20 pages). We identify structural shifts in markets by monitoring 42+ signal sources and validating hypotheses through a rigorous multi-perspective research process. We share our probabilistic point of view about the market and the specific assets identified.
We continuously monitor signal sources spanning macro-economic indicators, commodity and energy markets, shipping and trade flows, geopolitical developments, institutional positioning, congressional and insider activity, corporate filings, sovereign debt markets, and academic research.
When signals converge, we identify hypotheses, research them from multiple independent perspectives, stress-test every thesis through a rigorous adversarial challenge process, and publish only what survives. Each report includes scenario analysis with probability ranges, risk framing, specific US-traded assets at value chain chokepoints, and concentrated downside mapping.
Weekly research reports with specific asset identification, scenario probabilities, risk framing, and trigger monitoring. Advanced subscribers also receive real-time hypothesis tracking with probability updates, scenario transitions, and alpha window classification.
Telos Research Group does not provide investment advice, buy/sell recommendations, or portfolio allocation guidance. Our reports are analytical research for informed decision-making. See full disclaimers.